Category Archives: probability

A short comment on Reichenbach’s Principle of Common Cause

When I came across this principle in Mark Alford’s tutorial paper on Bell Inequality I was intrigued: Reichenbach’s principle of common cause [1]: correlations can be explained in terms of causes. if two phenomena show a correlation, either one causes … Continue reading

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Bayesian probability and statistics: resources

Prediction is very hard. We have no choice but to use the past events to make a prediction about the future events. If you can detect a trend or cycle then the job gets easier but sometimes there is neither … Continue reading

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Difference between correlation and causation

This is the first article in my “causality” series. Please see the index for a list of the other posts in this series. In my day job I deal with probability and statistics. I use words like correlation, standard error … Continue reading

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QM wavefunction and its many interpretations

Mathematical formalism known as Quantum Mechanics (QM) describes the outcomes of measurements performed with elementary particles when they interact with each other or external fields. Measurement is the key concept in QM. Measurement is like taking a snapshot of the … Continue reading

Posted in philosophy, physics, prediction, probability, science, tutorial

Amos Tversky and the Prospect Theory

Amos Tversky (1937-1996), Davis Brack Professor of Behavioral Sciences at Stanford University and one of the world’s most respected and influential psychologists died June 2, 1996, of metastatic melanoma, at the age of 59. Amos Tversky was going to share the … Continue reading

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Internalizing ideas and theories

Apparently the subject of internalization is widely studied in academic psychology and sociology. I am not an expert in the academic aspects of internalization but I am cognizant of my own mental processes. I wanted to share some of my … Continue reading

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Coupling between past and future

Prediction is the hardest intellectual problem. It seems that we need to know everything about the Cosmos to predict the future accurately. I am not sure that even omniscience is enough because there is an intrinsic uncertainty in the Cosmos. … Continue reading

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