Category Archives: statistics

Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat)

I was born in Türkiye to Turkish parents and spent my formative years there until I moved to the United States to pursue a PhD degree in Physics. I never returned to Türkiye to work and live there but I … Continue reading

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Bayesian probability and statistics: resources

Prediction is very hard. We have no choice but to use the past events to make a prediction about the future events. If you can detect a trend or cycle then the job gets easier but sometimes there is neither … Continue reading

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Difference between correlation and causation

This is the first article in my “causality” series. Please see the index for a list of the other posts in this series. In my day job I deal with probability and statistics. I use words like correlation, standard error … Continue reading

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Coupling between past and future

Prediction is the hardest intellectual problem. It seems that we need to know everything about the Cosmos to predict the future accurately. I am not sure that even omniscience is enough because there is an intrinsic uncertainty in the Cosmos. … Continue reading

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